Skip to main content

The Rise of Jake Plummer

It's been said that the key to the Broncos' resurgence this season has been the much-improved play of oft-maligned quarterback Jake Plummer.

Wrong!

Hear me out: Plummer's having a fine year. But outside of chucking a few too many picks last year with either hand or "obscene gestures" with just one (is it just me or does obscene gestures sound a lot worse than just saying he flipped a guy off?), he's done almost everything right in Denver. In fact, I'm not sure he's playing any better now than he did his first year here.

Check the numbers:

2003: Went 189-302 (62.6%) for 2182 yards, 15 TDs, and 7 INTs.
2004: Went 303-521 (58.2%) for 4089 yards, 27 TDs, and 20 INTs.
2005: Has gone 160-264 (60.6%) for 1849 yards, 13 TDs, and 3 INTs.

If the 2003 totals look low, you'll remember he missed time due to injuries and postseason preparation. If the 2005 totals look low, it's because the season's not over, genius.

In 2003 the Broncos started out looking tremendous, but got lost when Steve Beuerlein (who I liked) and Danny Kanell (who's never shot anyone) had to fill in. That blew our chance for a home playoff game. Kind of a costly lesson, because I think the key to breaking Mike Shanahan's playoff losing streak would be to host a postseason game. Apparently Mike disagrees; his No. 2 QB this year is a well-known chump.

Considering Plummer was throwing the ball deeper than ever in '04, he was good every year. Last year's picks, though, were especially costly and therefore overly memorable. (Let's not forget that he showcased his inability to discern jerseys in Arizona, as well.) He's avoided turnovers almost completely this year.

But Plummer playing well is not much of a change. (Besides, we're 21st in the league in passing offense anyway.)

What has worked right? Well, the Broncos' overall rankings are aboutwhere they were a few weeks ago when I went through them-we still stop the run and can run on anybody despite giving carries to two backs.

If you know your Broncos history, you'd expect a tandem backfield to work out like it did when Sammy Winder was spelled by Gerald Wilhite and Gene Lang. Usually when you split the load, the runners have an average of about 6.0-but that's not yards per carry, it's time in the forty. Yet Mike Anderson (4.5 per carry for 669 yards) and Tatum Bell (6.3 for 606), both of whom are on pace for thousand-yard seasons (though it won't end like that), have been consistent while still making their own kinds of big plays.

I can't shake the feeling that we the Broncos have been a little lucky, but then I don't expect much of a dropoff. After blowing out what's left of the New York Jets franchise this Sunday, expect your Thanksgiving to include watching Denver tear through the history-rich Cowboys like an ethnic studies professor through the history of actual cowboys. (To be fair, Dallas leads the division-but it's Drew Bledsoe and it's not 1995 any more, you know?)

We have a mildly challenging schedule the rest of the year-at K.C, home against the Ravens, at Bills, then at home on Christmas Eve because the Raiders didn't get enough last week, and finally at San Diego. While I'd like to predict a first-round playoff bye, I can't help but be blown away by Pittsburgh having our record (7-2) despite playing Tommy Maddox.

Speaking of Broncos history...let's just say Maddox has a 32.6 rating this year, which is bad even for him. It would be his worst ever-if he hadn't once gone 6-for-23 with three interceptions for a season in New York. I am not kidding, he had a quarterback rating of zero. Anyway, this is all a long way of making fun of Tommy and saying the Steelers will once again snag the first-round bye, though we're still on pace in the AFC West.

(Which reminds me, if the Colts stay atop the AFC, that could clear the way for a Tony Dungy-Bill Cowher AFC title game. I mean, someone has to win that game, right? It might take a dozen overtimes but dang it, somebody's going to the Super Bowl. Aren't they?)

Comments

Anonymous said…
Very nice Mike, but you didn't seem to make your point beyond the fact that the Bronco turnaround was not because of Jake Plumber. I think Jake does play a bigger role in the turnaround than you think. Field position seems to be one of the biggest keys to the Broncos this year. Todd Sauerbrun's incredible punting combined with the lack of turnover has kept other teams from scoring. Jake Plumber's offense does not impress me that much; the Broncos third down conversion rate is a dismal 31.9% (much of which I attribute to Shannahan's run-run-pass offense). The defense is 10th in third down stopping and 18th in total first downs given up; so I can only attribute their success to field posistion. Further, the lack of interceptions by Jake has led Denver to having the lowest number of turnovers in the league; this combined with the 5th highest net punting in the NFL, the Broncos have out done their opponent. In general, the Broncos have gained as many yards as their opponent, but because of their opponent's field posistion, the yard given up on defense have been less meaniful, allowing the Broncos to win consistently.
Mike said…
Good point, David. I kind of already mentioned all this stuff a couple weeks ago-at least that special teams are much-improved from last year. OK, I didn't say that exactly, but I have pointed out how well Sauerbrun has done. I figured I was repeating myself enough already just writing about the Broncos.

I am confused by your "Jake does play a bigger role than you think", followed by saying he doesn't impress you much. Well, whatever. Field position has definitely played a big part. But I still feel like we've been lucky.
David said…
i'm personally very confident in our back up. i mean, he DOES have a great head on his shoulders. a great mind. cultivated at one of colorado's most prestigious wanna be schools.

*take that CSU
Mike said…
I dare you to name a finer community college in all of Fort Collins, Mister Clark.

"Mr. Clark don't play."
Mike said…
I think Plummer contributes plenty. I just thought he was good before, therefore, his improvement isn't so big that it's the difference. The play of other people is the difference.
Mike said…
The Ravens are stacked-if they had just a decent Q, like a few-years-ago Trent Dilfer-not that they'd ever have a chance to land a veteran like that-they would be a powerhouse. Instead brave warrior Throws-From-Knees sneaks away with a defeat as often as possible.

The Baltimore Billicks? Who are you, Peter King?

The Steelers, Jaguars and Bengals (?) are all within a game of us in the overall AFC standings, so I am not sure if I agree that only Pitt has a shot (though they're clearly the best of the three). And all three used high picks on QBs lately...maybe it is wise to take them No. 1 every single freaking year.
Mike said…
Yes, Jacksonville would have some work to do to pass us...not sure why I didn't take that into consideration. Anyway, one of the AFC North teams (Bengals/Steelers) is 8-3 right now (since one of them will probably win the upcoming game) so if we lose Thursday, there goes our lead (kind of). I still say Steelers No. 2 if Ben plays.

So I ran into my old roommate yesterday who likes the Raiders, and he started talking crap to me because he thinks they will handle the Dolphins this week (and the Broncos couldn't). He was serious, too. Of course, he's the kind of kid who pointed out that Oakland leads the all-time series, like that's relevant. Am I the only one who could not care less about something like that?

Popular posts from this blog

The NFL hates you.

It's no joke. It seems like the more devoted of a fan you are, the less the league cares about your continued patronage. The best example is the league's blackout policy, a wonderful gift from the league to its teams granting them added market pressure to charge whatever ridiculous amount they want for tickets. If a game doesn't sell out, the home market doesn't get to watch it on TV. (Basically, a 75-mile radius around the stadium doesn't get to see the game on TV if all the tickets aren’t bought first.) The NFL, like a needy girlfriend, says, "Hey, fans, you like us? Prove it." Then the league asks us to prove it again and again, week after week, year after year. I live within 75 miles of what should be John Elway Stadium, but Broncos fans are pretty much shielded from this stuff, right? Not all of them. One of my friends is as supportive a fan as the NFL can have: he's a Broncos season ticket holder and an NFL Sunday Ticket subscriber. That mean...

An innocent mistake

Sorry. Here I am to catch up on a few things from the past week... 1. Vince Young will be on the cover of Madden 08. Good for him, I guess. Much is made of the Madden curse. It's not a self-fulfilling prophecy, but it almost feels like one. The real problem is that a) football is a very violent game, and b) Electronic Arts typically selects a cover athlete who's already very well-known. Unfortunately, the players are therefore often a year (Shaun Alexander) or more (Ray Lewis) off their actual prime, and old enough that a serious injury is more likely. Young is an up-and-comer, and to avoid a horrible pun let's just say he has less age than most of those guys. I think he'll be fine. 2. Of course, the reason EA went with such a youthful player is that superstar Chargers back LaDainian Tomlinson turned them down . Why? Money. No surprise that'd be a point of contention, considering how "generous" EA is with its regular employees . 3. That's why re...

Super Bowl XLVI revealed!

The Patriots and the Giants. Things just work out sometimes. * * * Two new teams, the England Patriots and the York Giants, will play for the NFL title in Super Bowl Forty-Six in two weeks. I can't wait. The matchup comes too late, and after too imperfect of a season, to make up for the wounds inflicted by the Giants in early 2008. The Patriots' undefeated season, a 16-0 masterpiece in which they set the league's single-season scoring record, broke at the hands of the upstart Giants in that year's Super Bowl. The way the Giants won made their win feel especially flukish...Eli Manning, known more for his entitled attitude than his athleticism (the only player to which his moves have ever been compared favorably is his brother Peyton), somehow scrambled free of a Patriot pass rush in the closing minutes, and lofted a pass down the middle of the field to David Tyree, who caught the key throw against the top of his helmet. Then a touchdown pass to Plexiglass provided the wi...